In typical Reddit fashion, my prediction was trashed right out of the gate, lol - that's alright, it's Reddit... Anyway the post had only 9 comments, zero points with 33% upvote rating. Just a couple of the comments which really stood out for me at the time:
|Screenshot of original Reddit post predicting success of Furious 7|
Today, at the time of writing this, my prediction has come to within 3% of the power-function (power actually had the better R-squared value) predicted amount of: $1,454,699,597 as compared to the actual World Wide Box Office Gross Revenue of $1,489,386,455. I think now is a fair time to call it because Furious 7 is pretty much only earning long tail revenue, now that Age of Ultron is dominating theaters everywhere.
I also gave a positional ranking prediction at that time too, I stated that 'Furious 7 would be the 4th highest grossing movie of all time, right behind Avatar, Titanic and The avengers'. As of today, Furious 7 is most definitely the fourth highest grossing movie of all time.
Well, to be honest this prediction was kind of done in jest, yes I did some numbers work and showed my math, but I'm not entirely convinced that this sort of result isn't just a stroke of luck for me. That being said, I'm planning to analyze a few more movies, releases, revenues and see if this (or similar) modeling approach can be repeated successfully. What's interesting, is usually one would analyze historical data and trends, derive a model and make a prediction about the future. In this case I seem to have successfully got the cart before the horse and now looking to see if it's just luck or not.
I'm still searching for the place where I can collect all my valuable internet points for saying something will happen 6 months before it actually does and having documented that online, let me know if you figure out where...